With a substantial demand of military hardware, the conflict-ridden Middle East has become one of the most significant regions in the world’s arms market. Guests: 1. Dr. Ely Karmon, Senior researcher – The Institute for Counter Terrorism, IDC Herzliyah 2. Dr. Nir Boms – Research fellow, The Moshe Dayan center at Tel Aviv University Analyst: Amir Oren
Lebanon has been pushed to the center of regional rivalry between Saudi Arabia and the Islamic Republic of Iran, since the Saudi-backed Lebanese politician Sa’ad al-Hariri – in an unexpected move – resigned his post as the country’s Prime Minister, blaming Iran and its Lebanese-proxy Hezbollah of forcibly asserting Tehran’s interests in Lebanon, as well as sowing strife across the Arab world. To do so, I’m joined here in the studio by; 1. Dr. Nir Boms – Research fellow, Moshe Dayan center at Tel Aviv University 2. Prof. Efraim Kam, Senior researcher, INSS 3. Dr. Eran Lerman – Vice President of the Jerusalem Institute for strategic studies and a lecturer at Shalem College Analyst: Amir Oren
1. Dr. Nir Boms; Research Fellow, Moshe Dayan Center – Tel Aviv University
2. Dr. Eldad Pardo; Iran Expert – Hebrew University of Jerusalem
1. Amir Oren, TV7 Analyst
On the 2nd of January, Saudi Arabia executed a prominent Muslim Shi’ite leader sending a strong message to the Shi’ite world – primarily its arch-regional rival Iran. The signal by the Saudi monarch’s, amid growing regional proxy-wars, was a claim of leadership to the Sunni Muslim world; One that has brought about a harsh response by Iran’s leaders, proclaiming the Saudi act would bring about “divine revenge” – a statement which prompted an angry Iranian mob to storm the Saudi diplomatic mission in Tehran.
These occurrences have severed the already strained relations between the Sunni and Shi’ite Muslims– with fears of the ongoing chaos in the Middle East deteriorating further to new lows.
Three scenarios appear plausible for Syria’s future: agreed transition; segregation; or disintegration. It is imperative that friends of Syria help Syrians create a scenario they can live with.
AMMAN – In 1942, Winston Churchill famously drew a distinction between “the end of the beginning” and “the beginning of the end”. That distinction is equally applicable to the unfolding crisis in Syria.
While intense battles continue in Idlib, Aleppo and Damascus, equally intense discourse is already in full swing anticipating the “day after” or the beginning of post-Assad Syria.
Undoubtedly, the Syrian revolution has reached a critical point. Despite equipment shortages and government brutality, the Free Syrian Army (FSA) has been able to show some significant advances. Following the successful planting of the bomb that killed three top inner circle officials, the FSA now effectively controls most of the border crossings between Turkey, Syria and Iraq, and with them, the critical supply lines from Iran which has thus far kept the regime afloat.
Some of the FSA’s recent strides can be attributed to the growing list of defectors that now includes generals, pilots, diplomats and even inner-circle officials like Brig-Gen Manaf Tlas, the son of former defense minister Mustapha Tlas and a recent close ally of Assad.