Syria on the brink of calamity – Jerusalem Studio 323

The ongoing conflict in Syria continues to top the world media’s headlines, with major developments across the war-torn country.
To further discuss those developments, I’m join here in the studio by;
1. Dr. Eran Lerman – Vice President of the Jerusalem Institute for strategic studies and a lecturer at Shalem College
2. Dr. Nir Boms – Research fellow, Moshe Dayan center at Tel Aviv University

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Jerusalem Studio : “The US-led campaign against the Islamic State”

In response to rapid territorial gains made by the Islamic State in the first half of 2014, its brutal tactics and rising support among Muslims around the world, the United States under the Obama administration decided to establish a campaign of airstrikes against the extreme Muslim group in Iraq and Syria, garnering active support of both regional and Western powers.

To discuss the current state of the US-led coalition and their success in combating the Islamic State, I’m join here in the studio by:

Guests:

Dr. Kobe Michael, Senior Research Fellow, INSS
Dr. Nir Boms, Research Fellow, Moshe Dayan Center – Tel Aviv University
Analyst: Mr. Amir Oren

In response to rapid territorial gains made by the Islamic State in the first half of 2014, its brutal tactics and rising support among Muslims around the world, the United States under the Obama administration decided to establish a campaign of airstrikes against the extreme Muslim group in Iraq and Syria, garnering active support of both regional and Western powers.

To discuss the current state of the US-led coalition and their success in combating the Islamic State, I’m join here in the studio by:

Guests:

Dr. Kobe Michael, Senior Research Fellow, INSS
Dr. Nir Boms, Research Fellow, Moshe Dayan Center – Tel Aviv University
Analyst: Mr. Amir Oren

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Syria and Libya: Can Iran be next?

Nir Boms & Ehud Eilam

Academic Views, May 2013

Some parallels exist between the rebels’ situation in Syria and Libya – but also a difference that create two models for an uprising. Can Iran follow one of them too?

The effect of the Arab earthquake

It began in the squares:  Tahrir, Manama, Peral, Bourguiba Avenue. The Tunisians, Egyptians, Libyans and Syrians marched to the squares before picking up other means of resistance. In Libya, it started on February 15, 2011 when security forces arrested Fathi Terbil, a prominent lawyer who represented families of some of the 1,200 prisoners massacred by Libyan security forces at Abu Slim prison in 1996. His arrest triggered a wave of demonstrations that, in turn, triggered a harsh response. The regime opened fire   and the people picked up arms in self-defense, a step that led to a full mutiny. The uprising in Syria likewise began with waves of peaceful protests that were met with brutal crackdown. This, in turn, resulted into mutual violence that turned into a brutal civil war.

The rebels in Libya were determined to end the brutal rule of a theatrical dictator that acted as an African Caesar that  was in power since 1969 and responsible to a Libyan dark age. The rebels in Syria wish to get rid of their oppressing dynasty, the Assad kingdom,  that controlled them with an iron fist since 1970. This dynamic  could repeat itself in Iran after the last presidential elections in 2009 – like the current elections today –  proved that the regime was willing to accept only a candidate of  “their own”.

The central lesson learned from the Arab earthquake was about the voice of the people. “The people,” it seems, are far less willing to accept an oppressive regime and will find the first real opportunity to bring a dictator down.

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