05May/20

Syria vs Turkey amid the Coronavirus crisis

The entire Middle East seems to be focused on the coronavirus crisis. While the spreading contagion is indeed a major issue everywhere, it is not the only one. In northern Syria, the Assad regime and Turkey are still in conflict, with various other powers involved directly or indirectly.

To look at this persistent problem, which will probably outlast even, the pandemic we invite:

– Jonathan Hessen, Host.

– Amir Oren, Analyst.

– Dr. Hay Eytan Cohen Yanarocak, Research Fellow, Moshe Dayan Center at Tel Aviv University. –

– Dr. Nir Boms, Research Fellow, Moshe Dayan Center at Tel Aviv University.

29Apr/20

لحظة شبيهة بكارثة تشيرنوبيل في إيران

لحظة شبيهة بكارثة تشيرنوبيل في إيران

متاح أيضاً في English

24 نيسان/أبريل 2020

بينما يبدو أن عددًا من البلدان يحاول فتح أبوابه، فقد تصدرت إيران عناوين الصحف باعتبارها أحد البلاد التي تعيد فتح أبوابها تدريجيًا. فهي من جهة تعاني وضعًا اقتصاديًا صعبًا يشتمل على انهيار غير مسبوق لأسعار النفط وعقوبات أمريكية جديدة. ولكن استمرار النظام الإيراني في التعامل مع الأزمة باستخفاف قد يثير تساؤلات عما إذا كان سيخطئ في إدارة إعادة فتح البلاد أيضًا وما إذا كانت البلاد ستصل إلى مرحلة يصبح فيها التهميش الذي يختبره الشعب الإيراني كافيًا ليشكل نقطة أساسية للإطاحة بالنظام؟

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25Apr/20

A Chernobyl Moment in Tehran

Also available in العربية

Fikra Forum, April 24, 2020

As several states seem to experiment with opening up, Iran has made headlines as one of the countries experimenting with a gradual reopening of the country. However, the Iranian regime’s consistent mishandling of the crisis raises the question of whether this reopening too will be mismanaged, and whether the country will reach a point where the alienation felt by the Iranian public be enough to be a major tipping point for the regime.

Iran’s failures during the coronavirus crisis has presented a sort of existential crisis for the regime. Its early inability to admit to, much less contain the outbreak—and its subsequent inability to manage the public health response required by COVID19, have shown the regime’s indifference to the wellbeing of the its own people, steadily increasing the public’s sense of alienation.

The catastrophe that has unfolded in Iran is in several ways reminiscent of history’s worst nuclear accident, which occurred in the former Soviet Union just 34 years ago. Many mark the Chernobyl nuclear disaster, which killed thousands, as the moment that led to the downfall of the Soviet Union five years later. More than anything else, the 1986 Chernobyl disaster helped the people of Soviet Union realize that they had been systematically lied to by the Soviet regime for over 70 years. As Soviet leaders scrambled to cover up the disaster, their denials and concurrently slow efforts to contain the leak demonstrated a willingness to sacrifice human lives in order not to embarrass the state. This undeniable reality as the Chernobyl disaster became too large to hide and prompted even loyal citizens to question their government—this stark example of state failure helped the entire system begin to unravel. 

The slow reaction of the current Iranian Regime, like Soviet leaders, revealed their total disregard for their own people, gradually shattering the illusion of supremacy. In the former USSR, this disillusionment opened a path to a stronger “Perestroika,” which in turn unraveled the mechanisms of fear that had helped keep the regime apparatus in place. And while the dynamics of the two states are different in many ways, the stakes of a potential Chernobyl moment in Iran are just as high for the region and the world.

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24Apr/20

Nous savons sauver des vies… quand nous décidons de le faire

Guitinews, April 24 2020

Avec la survenue du covid-19, l’on nous répète que la vie est en jeu. Il nous est demandé de faire preuve de solidarité, de rester à la maison pour protéger nos existences et celles des autres. Il n’y a pas de prix à la vie humaine. Ou peut-être y en a-t-il un ? Contrairement à la pandémie actuelle, les grandes puissances n’ont pas agi pour sauver des millions de vies humaines dans cette dernière décennie. L’Europe, en particulier, s’est illustrée par son impuissance. Près de douze millions de syriens ont été déplacés, plus de trois millions d’irakiens ont fui leur foyer face à la violence de l’État islamique et l’Afghanistan comptabilise un sordide bilan annuel de milliers de morts. Il faut tirer de la crise du covid-19 une leçon de perspective et de responsabilité. Agissons.

Une tribune de Nir Boms et d’Hussein Aboubakr / Traduite de l’anglais par Leïla Amar / Dessin : Gaspard Njock.


Les dernières semaines nous ont éveillés à une réalité nouvelle et sans précédent. Notre vie est en jeu, nous dit-on, et la vie est précieuse, inestimable en fait. Le monde a besoin que nous agissions pour sauver des vies. Il n’y a pas de prix pour la vie humaine. À moins, bien sûr, que ce soit la vie de quelqu’un d’autre ou la guerre de quelqu’un d’autre. Pour cela, nous n’arrêterons pas notre monde.

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