Nir Boms and Stephane Cohen, Nexus,

The surprise attack by Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), which began on November 27, 2024, and resulted in the fall of Damascus in less than two weeks, caught many by surprise—including President Bashar al-Assad, who fled the city on December 7, 2024. Ahmed al-Sharaa, formerly known as Abu Mohammad al-Julani, has so far adopted a pragmatic approach as he seeks to build a new Syria. His vision focuses on creating an inclusive Syrian National Project that aims to guarantee the rights and place of Syria’s diverse ethnic and ideological groups. While this new vision aligns with that of moderate regional partners, the challenges ahead remain immense. A series of ethnic clashes—resulting in two massacres, one in the coastal Alawite region and another targeting the Druze community—raises questions about the ability of the new government to implement a transformed Syria.

Success means creating a power-sharing model, which is the only way to potentially gain the support of most Syrians. But not all seek to share power, and many still doubt the leadership of a former jihadist now backed by Islamists. Six months after Assad’s fall, Israel bombed the new government palace in Damascus for the first time, sending a signal to the new Syrian government that it had not done enough to prevent a massacre in the Druze areas of Damascus. As Israel assesses whether the new Syrian administration is a potential ally or a new enemy, there may still be time to engage with those in Syria committed to building a different future for the country.